Market Analysis

August 19 Forex Report | Dollar Near Lows as Yields Ease Ahead of Fed Minutes

Dollar stays near multi-month lows as softer U.S. yields and data curb tightening expectations. Fed minutes, UK CPI and yen rate-gap risks are in focus.

2026-08-19

August 19 Crude Oil Report | Hormuz Uncertainty Extends Oil Gains Despite Demand Headwinds

WTI and Brent extend gains as uncertainty over Hormuz exports supports prompt prices, offsetting a U.S. stock build and weaker Chinese refining.

2026-08-19

August 18 Forex Report | Dollar Softens as U.S. Data Trim Hike Bets

The dollar edges lower as softer U.S. data curb near-term Fed tightening expectations, while Iran-war risks and yen intervention concerns limit a one-way move.

2026-08-18

August 18 Crude Oil Report | Oil Rises as Hormuz Risk Offsets U.S. Crude Build

WTI and Brent rose as shipping risks around Hormuz outweighed a large U.S. crude build, with vessel traffic and EIA data in focus.

2026-08-18

August 17 Forex Report | Dollar Softens as U.S. Data Cool Fed Hike Bets

The dollar eases as softer U.S. retail sales and jobs data cool September Fed hike expectations, while USD/JPY faces rate-gap and intervention risks.

2026-08-17

August 17 Crude Oil Report | Oil Steadies as Hormuz Traffic Slows, Demand Weakens

Oil holds steady as slowing Hormuz traffic and Gulf outages support prices, while a large U.S. crude build and weaker Chinese refining curb upside.

2026-08-17

August 14 Forex Report | Dollar Softens as Benign Inflation Pairs Fed Hike Bets

The dollar eases after flat July PPI pared Fed hike expectations, lifting EUR/USD and nudging USD/JPY lower as retail sales and yen intervention risk loom.

2026-08-14

August 14 Crude Oil Report | U.S. Stock Build Weighs Against Hormuz Supply Risk

A hefty U.S. crude build pressures oil, but below-average stock buffers and constrained Hormuz flows keep supply risks in focus.

2026-08-14

August 13 Crude Oil Report | Oil Slips on U.S. Crude Build Amid Hormuz Risks

WTI and Brent fell as a large U.S. crude build driven by trade flows met Hormuz risks and weaker Chinese refinery processing, with shipping data in focus.

2026-08-13

August 12 Crude Oil Report | Hormuz Risks Support Oil Despite Weak China Demand

WTI and Brent hold firm as fragile Hormuz transit conditions and tight U.S. product stocks offset weak Chinese refinery activity and a crude build.

2026-08-12

August 11 Crude Oil Report | Hormuz Uncertainty Lifts Oil Despite Mixed U.S. Stocks

WTI and Brent rise on unresolved Strait of Hormuz shipping risk as tight U.S. fuel stocks offset a crude build and planned OPEC+ supply increase.

2026-08-11

July 29 Forex Report | Dollar Slips Ahead of FOMC as Rate-Hike Odds Near 30%

The dollar edged lower as softer hiring reduced Fed rate-hike odds to about 30%, with the FOMC, Treasury yields and June PCE data in focus.

2026-07-29

July 28 Forex Report | Dollar Rebounds as U.S. Rate Expectations Dominate

The dollar rebounded as U.S. rate expectations outweighed energy prices, while yen pressure and intervention risk kept the Fed and Bank of Japan in focus.

2026-07-28

July 27 Forex Report | Dollar Pullback Limited by Fed Hike Expectations

The dollar's pullback stayed modest as lower oil prices eased safe-haven demand, while Fed rate-hike expectations and ceasefire doubts limited losses.

2026-07-27

July 27 Crude Oil Report | Oil Retreats on U.S.-Iran Pause as Hormuz Risks Persist

WTI and Brent fell as U.S.-Iran attacks paused, but weak Hormuz traffic and tight physical supply kept shipping risks and Fed inflation concerns in focus.

2026-07-27

July 24 Forex Report | Dollar Rebounds on Higher Yields and U.S.-Iran Tensions

The dollar rebounded as Treasury yields rose and U.S.-Iran tensions persisted, while the ECB held rates and kept a September hike on the table.

2026-07-24

July 24 Crude Oil Report | Oil Surges as Dual Chokepoint Risks Threaten Supply

WTI and Brent surged as Hormuz, Red Sea, and CPC disruptions intensified supply concerns, with U.S. PMIs and the oil rig count next in focus.

2026-07-24

July 23 Forex Report | Dollar Index Slips Near 101 Amid Iran Risks and Rate Bets

The Dollar Index slipped near 101 as soft U.S. inflation offset safe-haven demand; USD/JPY rose above 163, raising intervention risk before the ECB decision.

2026-07-23

July 23 Crude Oil Report | Oil Rally Extends as Middle East Supply Risks Deepen

WTI and Brent extended gains as tanker attacks and fading U.S.-Iran diplomacy raised supply risks, while low inventories kept the market vulnerable.

2026-07-23

July 22 Forex Report | USD/JPY Tops 163 as Dollar Gains and Intervention Risk Rises

The dollar gained on safe-haven demand and elevated Treasury yields, pushing USD/JPY above 163 and raising the risk of possible Japanese intervention.

2026-07-22

July 22 Crude Oil Report | Crude Hits Five-Week High on Dual Shipping Risks

WTI and Brent rose more than 2% as Hormuz and Red Sea threats raised supply risks, while ceasefire hopes and upcoming EIA data capped the rally.

2026-07-22

July 21 Forex Report | Dollar Rebounds as Iran Tensions Raise Fed Hike Risks

The dollar recovered as U.S.-Iran tensions, higher oil prices and Fed rate-increase risks supported demand, with U.K., eurozone and U.S. data in focus.

2026-07-21

July 21 Crude Oil Report | Oil Prices Rise as Shipping Risks Expose a Thin Supply Buffer

WTI and Brent rose as U.S.-Iran diplomacy limited panic buying, while Hormuz shipping threats and historically thin supply buffers kept risks elevated.

2026-07-21

July 20 Crude Oil Report | U.S.-Iran Escalation Sends Brent Above $90

Brent topped $90 and WTI $85 as U.S.-Iran escalation restricted Hormuz traffic, while prolonged high fuel prices could eventually weaken demand.

2026-07-20

July 17 Crude Oil Report | Crude Slips as Hormuz Flows Persist, Fuel Markets Tighten

WTI and Brent fell as limited Hormuz traffic continued and ample supply capped risk premiums, while refining constraints kept fuel markets tight.

2026-07-17